Threat Forecasting

Stale data—As noted, by the time historical threat reports are released the data is often stale. Instead of relying on yesterday's data, threat forecasting aims to quickly analyze data in as close to real time as possible.

Author: John Pirc

Publisher: Syngress

ISBN: 9780128004784

Category: Computers

Page: 188

View: 728

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Drawing upon years of practical experience and using numerous examples and illustrative case studies, Threat Forecasting: Leveraging Big Data for Predictive Analysis discusses important topics, including the danger of using historic data as the basis for predicting future breaches, how to use security intelligence as a tool to develop threat forecasting techniques, and how to use threat data visualization techniques and threat simulation tools. Readers will gain valuable security insights into unstructured big data, along with tactics on how to use the data to their advantage to reduce risk. Presents case studies and actual data to demonstrate threat data visualization techniques and threat simulation tools Explores the usage of kill chain modelling to inform actionable security intelligence Demonstrates a methodology that can be used to create a full threat forecast analysis for enterprise networks of any size

Threat Forecasting

Drawing upon years of practical experience and using numerous examples and illustrative case studies, Threat Forecasting: Leveraging Big Data for Predictive Analysis discusses important topics, including the danger of using historic data as ...

Author: John Pirc

Publisher:

ISBN: OCLC:1105788510

Category: Computer networks

Page: 188

View: 110

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Drawing upon years of practical experience and using numerous examples and illustrative case studies, Threat Forecasting: Leveraging Big Data for Predictive Analysis discusses important topics, including the danger of using historic data as the basis for predicting future breaches, how to use security intelligence as a tool to develop threat forecasting techniques, and how to use threat data visualization techniques and threat simulation tools. Readers will gain valuable security insights into unstructured big data, along with tactics on how to use the data to their advantage to reduce risk. Presents case studies and actual data to demonstrate threat data visualization techniques and threat simulation tools Explores the usage of kill chain modelling to inform actionable security intelligence Demonstrates a methodology that can be used to create a full threat forecast analysis for enterprise networks of any size.

Adaptive Internet Threat Forecasting

In this book we try to address these concerns by taking a pragmatic approach in benchmarking this current generation IPS's using open source tools, techniques and methodology.

Author: Bhaarath Venkateswaran

Publisher: LAP Lambert Academic Publishing

ISBN: 3844389970

Category:

Page: 116

View: 337

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Intrusion Prevention Systems (IPS) plays a key role in safeguarding today's data networks. The security effectiveness and performance of these systems are the primary concerns while deploying them inline. In this book we try to address these concerns by taking a pragmatic approach in benchmarking this current generation IPS's using open source tools, techniques and methodology. This approach, we hope will help the network & security administrators to effectively and efficiently secure their corporate network saving their organization significant resources. The book also focuses on modeling an Intrusion Forecasting system(IFS)having the ability to forecast multiple internet threats. This is performed by integrating our benchmarked contemporary IPS solution into an architecture scheme based on honeynets. This model which will not only have the ability to act as an early threat warning system to internet security threats but also adapt and take preventive actions against them, hence effectively protecting corporate assets with very minimal manual intervention.In short, we hope that this book will lay a strong foundation for the evolution of next generation threat prevention products

Threat Theory

A new environment, a new paradigm faces United States policy and decision makers.

Author: Larry D. Bruns

Publisher:

ISBN: OCLC:42140966

Category: National security

Page: 64

View: 641

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Threat and Risk Analysis in the Context of Strategic Forecasting

This publication presents a concise introduction to threat and risk analysis, the use and construction of scenarios, the role of intelligence and early warning, and political forecasting and state decay--Publisher's description.

Author: Michael Hough

Publisher: Institute for Strategic Studies University of Pretoria

ISBN: STANFORD:36105132374948

Category: Forecasting

Page: 108

View: 635

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This publication presents a concise introduction to threat and risk analysis, the use and construction of scenarios, the role of intelligence and early warning, and political forecasting and state decay--Publisher's description.

Building an Effective Cybersecurity Program 2nd Edition

Threat forecasting - Forecast future and potential threats; issue threat advisories and warnings. • Cyber threat gaming - Threat attack simulation exercises in the form of a game. • Threat actor profiles - Profile of hackers, ...

Author: Tari Schreider

Publisher: Rothstein Publishing

ISBN: 9781944480547

Category: Computers

Page: 406

View: 683

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BUILD YOUR CYBERSECURITY PROGRAM WITH THIS COMPLETELY UPDATED GUIDE Security practitioners now have a comprehensive blueprint to build their cybersecurity programs. Building an Effective Cybersecurity Program (2nd Edition) instructs security architects, security managers, and security engineers how to properly construct effective cybersecurity programs using contemporary architectures, frameworks, and models. This comprehensive book is the result of the author’s professional experience and involvement in designing and deploying hundreds of cybersecurity programs. The extensive content includes: Recommended design approaches, Program structure, Cybersecurity technologies, Governance Policies, Vulnerability, Threat and intelligence capabilities, Risk management, Defense-in-depth, DevSecOps, Service management, ...and much more! The book is presented as a practical roadmap detailing each step required for you to build your effective cybersecurity program. It also provides many design templates to assist in program builds and all chapters include self-study questions to gauge your progress. With this new 2nd edition of this handbook, you can move forward confidently, trusting that Schreider is recommending the best components of a cybersecurity program for you. In addition, the book provides hundreds of citations and references allow you to dig deeper as you explore specific topics relevant to your organization or your studies. Whether you are a new manager or current manager involved in your organization’s cybersecurity program, this book will answer many questions you have on what is involved in building a program. You will be able to get up to speed quickly on program development practices and have a roadmap to follow in building or improving your organization’s cybersecurity program. If you are new to cybersecurity in the short period of time it will take you to read this book, you can be the smartest person in the room grasping the complexities of your organization’s cybersecurity program. If you are a manager already involved in your organization’s cybersecurity program, you have much to gain from reading this book. This book will become your go to field manual guiding or affirming your program decisions.

Building Effective Cybersecurity Programs

Threat intelligence subscriptions – Commercial subscription to threat intelligence gathering and reporting service. Threat forecasting – Forecast future and potential threats; issue threat advisories and warnings. · Cyber threat gaming ...

Author: Tari Schreider, SSCP, CISM, C|CISO, ITIL Foundation

Publisher: Rothstein Publishing

ISBN: 9781944480509

Category: Business & Economics

Page: 249

View: 549

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You know by now that your company could not survive without the Internet. Not in today’s market. You are either part of the digital economy or reliant upon it. With critical information assets at risk, your company requires a state-of-the-art cybersecurity program. But how do you achieve the best possible program? Tari Schreider, in Building Effective Cybersecurity Programs: A Security Manager’s Handbook, lays out the step-by-step roadmap to follow as you build or enhance your cybersecurity program. Over 30+ years, Tari Schreider has designed and implemented cybersecurity programs throughout the world, helping hundreds of companies like yours. Building on that experience, he has created a clear roadmap that will allow the process to go more smoothly for you. Building Effective Cybersecurity Programs: A Security Manager’s Handbook is organized around the six main steps on the roadmap that will put your cybersecurity program in place: Design a Cybersecurity Program Establish a Foundation of Governance Build a Threat, Vulnerability Detection, and Intelligence Capability Build a Cyber Risk Management Capability Implement a Defense-in-Depth Strategy Apply Service Management to Cybersecurity Programs Because Schreider has researched and analyzed over 150 cybersecurity architectures, frameworks, and models, he has saved you hundreds of hours of research. He sets you up for success by talking to you directly as a friend and colleague, using practical examples. His book helps you to: Identify the proper cybersecurity program roles and responsibilities. Classify assets and identify vulnerabilities. Define an effective cybersecurity governance foundation. Evaluate the top governance frameworks and models. Automate your governance program to make it more effective. Integrate security into your application development process. Apply defense-in-depth as a multi-dimensional strategy. Implement a service management approach to implementing countermeasures. With this handbook, you can move forward confidently, trusting that Schreider is recommending the best components of a cybersecurity program for you. In addition, the book provides hundreds of citations and references allow you to dig deeper as you explore specific topics relevant to your organization or your studies.

How to Define and Build an Effective Cyber Threat Intelligence Capability

In this book, the authors review the current threat-scape and why it requires this new approach, offer a clarifying definition of what Cyber Threat Intelligence is, describe how to communicate its value to business, and lay out concrete ...

Author: Henry Dalziel

Publisher: Syngress

ISBN: 9780128027523

Category: Computers

Page: 42

View: 712

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Intelligence-Led Security: How to Understand, Justify and Implement a New Approach to Security is a concise review of the concept of Intelligence-Led Security. Protecting a business, including its information and intellectual property, physical infrastructure, employees, and reputation, has become increasingly difficult. Online threats come from all sides: internal leaks and external adversaries; domestic hacktivists and overseas cybercrime syndicates; targeted threats and mass attacks. And these threats run the gamut from targeted to indiscriminate to entirely accidental. Among thought leaders and advanced organizations, the consensus is now clear. Defensive security measures: antivirus software, firewalls, and other technical controls and post-attack mitigation strategies are no longer sufficient. To adequately protect company assets and ensure business continuity, organizations must be more proactive. Increasingly, this proactive stance is being summarized by the phrase Intelligence-Led Security: the use of data to gain insight into what can happen, who is likely to be involved, how they are likely to attack and, if possible, to predict when attacks are likely to come. In this book, the authors review the current threat-scape and why it requires this new approach, offer a clarifying definition of what Cyber Threat Intelligence is, describe how to communicate its value to business, and lay out concrete steps toward implementing Intelligence-Led Security. Learn how to create a proactive strategy for digital security Use data analysis and threat forecasting to predict and prevent attacks before they start Understand the fundamentals of today's threatscape and how best to organize your defenses

Application of Meteorological Satellite Data in Analysis and Forecasting

Isolation of Threat Areas It is possible to isolate very small areas of immediate tornado threat from satellite ... Once identification of a threat area has been made , its movement should be forecast from cell movement on radar .

Author: Ralph K. Anderson

Publisher:

ISBN: UIUC:30112106578203

Category: Clouds

Page: 350

View: 490

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The report represents the combined efforts of personnel of the Applications Group, National Environmental Satellite Center (NESC), now the National Environmental Satellite Service (NESS); the NAVAL AIR SYSTEMS COMMAND Project FAMOS; and the Satellite Section, USAF ENVIRONMENTAL TECHNICAL APPLICATIONS CENTER (ETAC). Topics discussed include the following: Satellite cloud atlas and glossary; Synoptic cloud patterns; Application of satellite data to synoptic analysis in the tropics; Local phenomena; Infrared.

The Engineer

TEMPLATING AN ADAPTIVE THREAT SPATIAL FORECASTING IN OPERATIONS ENDURING FREEDOM AND IRAQI FREEDOM By Lieutenant Colonel ... the Engineer Research and Development continually challenge our ability to forecast future Center - Topographic ...

Author:

Publisher:

ISBN: NWU:35556028730091

Category: Military engineering

Page:

View: 503

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Technical Abstract Bulletin

AD - C013917L 78-13 Fld / Gp 15/1 High Angle Threat ( HAT ) Defensive Options for Navy Surface Combatants . ... AD - C013 785 78-12 Fld / Gp 21 / 9.2 THREAT FORECASTING An Analyst's Guide to Threat Forecasting .

Author:

Publisher:

ISBN: CORNELL:31924057183778

Category: Science

Page:

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Long range Forecasting and Planning

ADVANTAGES TO THE MILITARY RDT & E PROGRAM TECHNOLOGICAL FORECASTING IN THE MILITARY FIGURE 1-3 . ... Making better postulations of the enemy threat during the forecast period by identifying U.S. technological capabilities which may be ...

Author: United States. Air Force Dept

Publisher:

ISBN: UIUC:30112007206037

Category: Aeronautics, Military

Page: 191

View: 762

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Monthly Weather Review

At the surface , a weak low pressure system centered in New Mexico placed an inverted pressure trough over NMC measures : threat ( T ) and areal bias ( B ) the forecast domain , but the observed winds were light Obs vs RAMS fost and ...

Author:

Publisher:

ISBN: MINN:31951P00424146R

Category: Meteorology

Page:

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Approaches to Long Range Forecasting

This document includes forecasts of the future military threat environment and assessment of the military and technological needs to counter this threat . Forecasting thus precedes the very initial effort to prepare the Laboratory long ...

Author:

Publisher:

ISBN: COLUMBIA:CU54600200

Category: Technological forecasting

Page: 149

View: 293

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Technology Development for Security Practitioners

This will help all trainees to better understand how to address a threat in real-life scenarios. ... from various attacks will feed the threat data visualization tools, threat simulation tools, and threat forecasting tools regarding AI ...

Author: Babak Akhgar

Publisher: Springer Nature

ISBN: 9783030694609

Category: Border security

Page: 564

View: 509

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This volume is authored by a mix of global contributors from across the landscape of academia, research institutions, police organizations, and experts in security policy and private industry to address some of the most contemporary challenges within the global security domain. The latter includes protection of critical infrastructures (CI), counter-terrorism, application of dark web, and analysis of a large volume of artificial intelligence data, cybercrime, serious and organised crime, border surveillance, and management of disasters and crises. This title explores various application scenarios of advanced ICT in the context of cybercrime, border security and crisis management, serious and organised crime, and protection of critical infrastructures. Readers will benefit from lessons learned from more than 30 large R&D projects within a security context. The book addresses not only theoretical narratives pertinent to the subject but also identifies current challenges and emerging security threats, provides analysis of operational capability gaps, and includes real-world applied solutions. Offers perspectives of R&D contributions to strengthening security potential from a multidisciplinary group of stakeholders from several domains; Addresses a range of security topics seen from the viewpoint of practitioners; Provides an extended collection of results delivered by advanced security research projects. Chapter 11 is available open access under a Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 IGO License via link.springer.com.

Forecasting for Technologists and Engineers

It is in this aspect of the corporate strategic formulation process that forecasting makes its most significant contributions . ... For example , many companies in the electro - mechanical industry were well aware of the threat to ...

Author: Brian C. Twiss

Publisher: IET

ISBN: 0863412858

Category: Technology & Engineering

Page: 221

View: 972

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This book is written for all technologists and engineers. To those unfamiliar with forecasting it may appear a somewhat esoteric activity with little relevance to the everyday technical concerns of the reader. This is not so. The aim of this book is to show how forecasting can improve the quality of technical decision making. Furthermore, this can be accomplished without the use of highly sophisticated techniques which can only be applied by specialists. The approaches described in this book can be easily understood and used by all its readers. The techniques of forecasting for technical decisions have been developed over several decades. Unfortunately they are not widely used in industry in the West where they were developed although they are much more widely used in Japan. One of the reasons for this may be that many of the methods appear highly complex and do not appear in the text books read by most technologists. The word "forecasting" is emotive to many people who reject the concept on the grounds that it will never be possible to forecast an uncertain future. Whilst this contains an element of truth it ignores the valuable contribution that a systematic analysis of the future can make to a wide range of decisions. The aim of this book is to describe the most useful methods in terms that all technologists can apply. It is not claimed that they will lead to the making of the "right" decisions. However, the experience of the author in applying them in a range of industries shows clearly that they can assist in making better decisions.

Eighth Conference on Weather Forecasting and Analysis of the American Meteorological Society June 10 13 1980 Denver Colo

The values in parentheses are based only on the period 1971-79 ( except 1972-79 for the 24-48 h forecasts of > 0.5 inch ) . Mean Threat Score 0.269 ( 0.284 ) 0.195 1.195 ) 0.181 ( 0.184 ) 0.095 ( 0.109 ) LONG TERM TRENDS IN THE NWS ...

Author:

Publisher:

ISBN: UCSD:31822010549483

Category: Weather forecasting

Page: 500

View: 914

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Defense Intelligence College Catalog

Other topics covered include technology transfer , technological and threat forecasting , and an overview of the PRC technological base . The course introduces intelligence production at the national level including the structure ...

Author: Defense Intelligence College (U.S.)

Publisher:

ISBN: UIUC:30112075641099

Category: Military education

Page:

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Atmospheric Convection Research and Operational Forecasting Aspects

of correct forecasts of the event (e.g thunderstorm forecast and observed) and the number of thunderstorms forecast or observed (A) TS = CSI = −4– 3.2 (A+B+C) (3.2) Threat score spans from 0 to 1 and, as for the hit rate, higher values ...

Author: Dario B. Giaiotti

Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media

ISBN: 9783211692912

Category: Technology & Engineering

Page: 222

View: 440

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This book treats atmospheric convection from different angles including the theoretical aspects of atmospheric deep convection and the weather phenomena related to convection. The problem of boundary conditions that result in severe convective weather patterns is explored within the framework of worldwide climatology. The book bridges the gap between theory and its operational application both within the fields of weather forecasting and that of risk management.